Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000688 0.000788 0.000895 0.001015 0.001149 0.001291 0.001453
2025-05-25 0.000529 0.000667 0.000824 0.001013 0.001235 0.001485 0.001786
2025-06-01 0.000430 0.000580 0.000758 0.000984 0.001258 0.001578 0.001977
2025-06-08 0.000354 0.000509 0.000701 0.000954 0.001273 0.001656 0.002146
2025-06-15 0.000307 0.000466 0.000672 0.000952 0.001314 0.001762 0.002346
2025-06-22 0.000268 0.000429 0.000646 0.000949 0.001353 0.001861 0.002539
2025-06-29 0.000233 0.000393 0.000616 0.000937 0.001375 0.001939 0.002704
2025-07-06 0.000202 0.000358 0.000584 0.000919 0.001386 0.002000 0.002846
2025-07-13 0.000186 0.000345 0.000581 0.000939 0.001449 0.002129 0.003080
2025-07-20 0.000170 0.000329 0.000573 0.000952 0.001502 0.002245 0.003297
2025-07-27 0.000150 0.000306 0.000552 0.000942 0.001520 0.002314 0.003452
2025-08-03 0.000132 0.000282 0.000527 0.000926 0.001528 0.002367 0.003586
2025-08-10 0.000121 0.000271 0.000522 0.000939 0.001580 0.002484 0.003812
2025-08-17 0.000109 0.000256 0.000510 0.000941 0.001614 0.002578 0.004008
2025-08-24 0.000093 0.000232 0.000480 0.000912 0.001600 0.002600 0.004103
2025-08-31 0.000080 0.000210 0.000452 0.000885 0.001587 0.002623 0.004198
2025-09-07 0.000071 0.000198 0.000440 0.000882 0.001611 0.002700 0.004372
2025-09-14 0.000064 0.000187 0.000429 0.000880 0.001636 0.002777 0.004547
2025-09-21 0.000056 0.000174 0.000413 0.000869 0.001644 0.002830 0.004687
2025-09-28 0.000049 0.000160 0.000394 0.000851 0.001642 0.002867 0.004803
2025-10-05 0.000046 0.000157 0.000396 0.000870 0.001701 0.002997 0.005059
2025-10-12 0.000043 0.000152 0.000394 0.000883 0.001748 0.003110 0.005293
2025-10-19 0.000038 0.000142 0.000381 0.000874 0.001758 0.003166 0.005439